Friday, 23 April 2010
Why logic says it will all go pear shaped for West Ham tomorrow!
I'm getting worried. Despite our appalling performance at Liverpool, the majority of the fans still seem to be treating tomorrow as something of a formality. According to the creed, we turn up tomorrow, roll over Wigan and then hear through the PA that Hull have lost to Sunderland and Burnley have gone down to Arsenal. Job done, we are safe, let's start planning for another season in the Prem.
It reads like a great script but it ignores a few facts!
To begin, there is our home record against Wigan. The last five results at Upton Park, reading backwards, have been 2-1, 1-1, 0-2, 0-2, 1-3. One win in the last 5 head to head games between the sides at the Boleyn doesn't bode too well, does it? In fact, we have only ever beaten Wigan twice at home in the league! Does a home win look such a formality now?
Then there is the little matter of current form. We were absolutely dreadful at Liverpool on Monday, of course, whilst Wigan come into the game on the back of knocking three goals past Arsenal in their last ten minutes of game time. Does a home win look such a formality now?
Then there is the pressure. "Pressure? What pressure?" the Wigan boys will ask. But we are playing for our lives. Imagine the mood inside the Boleyn if we go a goal down and news comes through that Hull are ahead against Sunderland! Does a home win look such a formality now?
To win, we have to do something that we have only managed to do once so far this season, win two home games on the trot. Probability says that aint going to happen. Does a home win look such a formality now?
And then there is this assumption that Hull will roll over against Sunderland. This is a Sunderland team who have managed just ONE AWAY WIN ALL SEASON. If Hull could pick the ideal opponents for a must win game, they would be hard pushed to find a better option! Remember, this Sunderland team are so poor away from home that even we beat them! Hull, meanwhile, have only lost 6 games at home this season. Does a Sunderland win look at all probable now?
Of course, I would love the agony to end tomorrow but the more I look at the facts, the more I can hear a line from Platoon: "I have a really bad feeling about this one". Dear God, I hope I'm wrong!
Posted by Hammersfan at 16:57