Sunday 16 October 2011

QPR v West Ham - The WarnockGrant Index

So, how good or bad has QPR's start been to the season if compared with our results last season against the teams they have played so far? We finished rock bottom, of course, 5 points shy of the usual safety mark, although a full 7 points short of the necessary total to survive as it turned out. With a whole host of weak teams likely to take points off of each other in the division, my money is on 40 points being the bar to survive this season too. So, to stay up, Warnock's boys need to better our results to the tune of 7 points over the season.

So far, they are not doing too badly! The results at Everton and Wolves put them four points ahead of us, because we drew both games - albeit we were robbed at Wolves when Clattenbung disallowed Piqionne's perfectly good winner with the last kick of the game and at Everton when Piquionne was sent off for celebrating the goal that gave us a 2-1 lead with just 15 minutes remaining. Home points against Aston Villa and Newcastle also bettered our results, because we lost both games. So that is 6 of the necessary points already, and the season is only a quarter old!

But hang on, that 1-1 draw at home to Blackburn exactly matched our result last season - and  when we failed to win it, we knew we were in big, big trouble. That was, for many of us, a nail into the Premiership coffin. If you can't beat Blackburn at home, you don't deserve to stay in the division! Defeats at Wigan and at home to Bolton mirrored our points tally, but we had a net goal difference of minus 3 from the games, to the R's net minus 6 - and goal difference could well be crucial come the end of the season.  Still it is 6 points ahead of our total so far so safety beckons!

But then we come to the Fulham game and that 6-0 trouncing. Craven Cottage is, of course, home from home for West Ham, with only Zola managing to lose there since 1962, but nevertheless, we came away with 3 points, which reduces QPR's advantage to just 3 points from the equivalent games.

However, 3 points is 3 points and if multiplied by 4 (we are a quarter of the way through the season) will see QPR safely across the finishing line on a total of 45 points. So, as things stand, Warnock is out pointing Grant and heading for safety. The trouble is, QPR are unlikely to harvest points against the big teams - and we struggled too - and they haven't met any yet. Those games account for a quarter of the season in their own right, so arguably, we should only be multiplying the advantage so far by 3. But that still sees them safe by two precious, precious points.

I will publish the Index at intervals to give Rangers fans an idea of how they are faring against our experience last year - unless they pull so far clear of the drop that all comparisons become redundant.

Hopefully this post will show that I am not here to knock QPR for the sake of it. My interest is genuine and I hope the Rs survive - but my head tells me that with Warnock in charge, it aint going to happen. He is on top in the Index so far, however, so let's see how things develop!

20 comments:

T.I.S said...

I've never been so bored of QPR since you found a great interest in them.

Hammersfan said...

Ignore the QPR threads then. Simples. Like Warnock's tactics!

Anonymous said...

Why why why are you so obesessed with QPR Hammer? Are you sure you don't want to just start supporting us as all you do is talk about QPR, even more than you do about your own team West Ham. Freak!

Anonymous said...

I really feel sorry for the other genuine West Ham fans out there cos you and your keaboard warrioring brings them down. Do you have a job, as it seeems you spend all your time on here bating people.

Hammersfan said...

I honestly fail to see how this is baiting anybody. I say you are ahead of the game at the moment so how is that having a go exactly?

jimwhu said...

hf aint it time to start dishing out a bit of stick to tottenham as qpr dont really deserve it as we all know there gonna get relegated and no one cares

Anonymous said...

Why are you so obsessed with QPR? Surely you are the most hated football fan of all time.

Anonymous said...

I am a QPR fan and I quite like this post, its not offensive and quite interesting nothing wrong with commenting on near neighbour teams in a non offensive way.
I will watch with interest Hammesfan!

steve said...

Cant see the problem with this myself. Interesting comparison and glad we are comparing well.

Hammersfan said...

Two sensible replies. Cheers guys!

qprmad said...

Is life so boring at west ham that you have to compare how you got on compared to Q.P.R when you used to be in the Premier League. Get a life you sad person.

Anonymous said...

HF did it ever occur to you that one day someone might take real offence to what you write and then decide to do harm to you. If would be a tad silly if you had to move home for instance for the sake of some silly words on a blog. Just a thought.

Hammersfan said...

Is that a threat 2154?

WavyQPR said...

This is a good blog,many of my fellow Rs and my claret and blue mates like this!...I must put a bit of a hole in you're reasoning however!..the wigan and Bolton games where played with our championship side and with none of the new signings! However so was the everton game! I must point out that I was disapointed to see you go down and look forward to our games next season...in the PREMIERSHIP

Anonymous said...

No, not at all - but you do love a wind up and you know sometimes people can't handle it - personally I think you're playing with fire and you should remember that what teams people support and how they feel, rightly or wrongly runs very deep.

Ashdown_Ranger said...

Interesting comparison - certainly a welcome change from the kind of tedious, mindless "[INSERT YOUR TEAM HERE] are great, [INSERT OPPOSITION TEAM HERE] are sh*t." kind of blogg.

Talking of mindless, Anonymous 21:54, what are you on? If you don't like the blog, no-one's compelling you to read it.

Oh, and by the way, you do not that every computer online has a unique IP address, so you're not actually as anonymous as you think...

Hammersfan said...

Fair enough 1035, and in reply, I have had a couple of death threats - there are some lovely people out there. So, should I stop publishing my opinions? We have fought wars for freedom of speech! There is a "wind up" element to some of my threads but, honestly, how can people get so heated over a blog? I can't alter QPR's results can I? Although Warnock seems to think a blogger cost the club a couple of points on Saturday. More likely that it was down to poor team selection and tactics if you ask me!

Cheers Wavy and Ashdown.

Anonymous said...

HF I take no offence to your QPR posts as I'm not a QPR fan I just thought that perhaps you were taking things a little too far... but seeing as you've already had death threats then I guess you're not worried.

Hammersfan said...

It's ok mate, I'm not taking offence. I treat most of the abuse with a pinch of salt. The really dangerous guys can't read and write!

Anonymous said...

hahahaha - brilliant